US Election Polls: Put up or Shut up! - ehMac.ca
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 02:51 PM   #1
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Rather than arguing about polls, here's your chance to predict the election. We then can look back on Nov 3rd and see who got it right first. No prizes will be awarded except glory and bragging rights.

I'm no expert but to get the ball rolling, here's my stab in the dark:

President: John Kerry
His popular vote: 53%
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 03:51 PM   #2
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FN, I can't tell you how much I hope you are correct, in that this would make for a true decision on the part of the US electorate. Sadly, if I would have to predict (even though I voted for Kerry in Georgia), from what I have been reading, short of a last minute miracle, it shall be Kerry with 51% of the popular vote and Bush as president. [img]graemlins/ptptptptptpt.gif[/img]
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 04:40 PM   #3
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I officially predict all the pollsters will be stunned and Kerry will have a decisive victory with about 57% of the vote.

Many will have totally underestimated the large turnout of voters who didn't vote in the last election but voted this time to oust Bush who weren't included in any Gallop polls because they weren't considered "likely voters."

I also predict that I will rub this in Macnutts face hard... I left him off easy with the Canadian Federal election but not this one. [img]graemlins/heybaby.gif[/img] I'm willing to have my face rubbed in it if I'm wrong.. but I won't be.

Bush is history. Print it out.
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 04:49 PM   #4
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Too close to call at this point with so many variables...... my gut says "contested election result" [img]tongue.gif[/img]



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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 04:57 PM   #5
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You're right there, it IS too close to call.

My bet is on Kerry... just!

Whether he can pull the world together is anybody's guess, but he's gotta be better than Dubya! [img]graemlins/ptptptptptpt.gif[/img]
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 05:38 PM   #6
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I agree itís way to close to really and I think that it will be contested . However I will predict a Bush win with 51% of the popular vote.

But more to the point Bush will get 275 electoral college votes, and thatís what counts..
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 05:45 PM   #7
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My inherent cynicism tells me that Bush is going to edge out Kerry, but then who can say for certain? Maybe enough apathetic voters will show up at the polls and decide that their vote indeed does count for something.
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 06:13 PM   #8
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ditto pg.
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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 06:28 PM   #9
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Hmmmmph seems I started a stampede of bet hedging....



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Old Oct 15th, 2004, 06:44 PM   #10
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Don't worry, if it get's too close Tom Ridge will be making a public information announcement......

"Dear Democrat voters, we have become aware of a non-specified threat by Al Qaeda against registered Democrats and undecided Republicans. We strongly advise you to remain indoors with the radio and TV set off on election day. We expect the problem to resolve itself 24 hours later and you will be free to run around the streets, enlist in our armed forces or claim your social security freebies."
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